Be a Supporter!

duckynessduckyness

Main News Favorites Reviews Stats
Follow duckyness
duckyness
Age / Gender:
n/a, Male
Location:
Location not disclosed
Joined:
3/1/09
All Stats >

User Statshot

Community Stats
Level 18 Blank Slate
Garbage Whistle
Ranked as Pvt. First Class

Contact Info / Websites

Recent Game Medals

Normal Puzzle Key 10 Points Clear last Easy puzzle Medal Stats.
Rookie 5 Points Clear Pixelo tutorials Medal Stats.
Save animal 25 Points Save 11 animals Medal Stats.
Junk collector 25 Points Collect 12 junks Medal Stats.
Pallete 10 Points Find Pallet, then you can change your color! Medal Stats.
Runner 10 Points Clear runner puzzle. you can run from now. Medal Stats.
Architect 5 Points Construct something with pixel. Medal Stats.
Pixelor 10 Points LV 10 you are Pixelor! Medal Stats.
Jumper 10 Points Find Jumper puzzle. Then, you can jump! Medal Stats.
Shopper 5 Points Find something to buy! Medal Stats.


Total Medals Earned: 3,674 (From 442 different games.)

Latest News

Plinko Guide (Complete)

2010-08-25 09:43:38 by duckyness

Plinko-205 medal points,7 medals
--------------------------------------
Game With Medals - Table of Contents
Games With Medals - Table of Contents - Part Deux
Alphabetised Version - CTM222
--------------------------------------
===Part l===
Panasonic Cordless Phone
$49

Paper shredder
$69

Grim Reaper Computer Speakers
$29

Laundry Sorter
$57

Hot Glue Gun
$44

Mini Snow Cone Maker
$39

Hooded Dog Vest
$19

Remote Control Candle Set
$29

Twilight Turtle Nightlight
$29

Scrabble Dictionary
$60

Realistic Owl Decoy
$32

Stainless Steel Steak Knives
$72

DIY Library Kit
$14

LED Shower Light
$49

Coffee Grinder
$24

Lava Lamp
$39

Personal Soundtrack Shirt
$39

Indoor Bark Deterrent
$49

Toddler's Sand Table
$54

High School Game Football
$43

Portable Tire Inflater
$89

Flexible Bowls
$17

Pool Ladder
$42

25-inch Beanbag Chair
$49

Telephone
$40

Folding Bookcase
$79

All-Weather Pet Bed
$24

Bluetooth Retro Handset
$29

MLB Glass Cutting Board
$25

Bug Vacuum
$59

Spice Rack Carousel
$41

Laptop Speakers
$11

Fly Fishing Kit
$33

Karaoke System
$74

Cuisinart Pizelle Press
$40

Utensils
$20

Tabletop CD/DVD Case
$29

Personal Soundtrack Shirt
$39

Chrome Laundry Sorter
$76

Guitar Chord Assist
$42

Pac-Man Potholder
$15

Sudoku Game
$30

Fitness Ball
$19

Aviation Instrument Coasters
$15

Potty Chair
$46

Classical Guitar
$66

Price is Right Plug-And-Play
$19

Hot Dog Roller
$59

Snow Goggles
$22

Cuisinart Pizelle Press
$40

Hand Crank Lantern
$19

Portable Stereo System
$57

Folding Bookcase
$79

Cordless Water Kettle
$31

Pasta Express
$12

Wake-Up Clock
$70

Wine Rack
$40

Fold-Away Clothing Rack
$22

Magic Bullet Express
$55

Zojirushi Coffee Marker
$98

Water-Filled Barbells
$49

Slow Cooker
$60

Tool Kit
$25

Light-Up Pool Fountain
$50

Crochet Hook Set
$44

Sandwich and Waffle Marker
$39

Framed Glass Mirror
$62

Radio Lantern
$40

Lap Desk
$37

Digital Bathroom Scale
$64

Dispenser
$33

Handy fan/cooler
$49

Ice Cream Maker
$54

Ladies Sport Watch
$16

Deshedding Tool for Cats
$34

Talking Thermometer
$69

Neti Pot Kit
$12

Computer and Book Light
$17

LED Bug Trap
$30

===Part ll===
The Plinko Board is played for a cash prize of up to $50,000 and also awards small prizes(in this case medals). "Since the Plinko board is basically a giant binomial distribution machine, it would make very little difference in the end result to have you guys drag the chip anywhere you want."

Probability Explanation (All Credits to DeomasandDimono)

The probability for getting 10000 and for getting 0 in the Plinko Board is highest when taking the middle position. Therefore is rational to take the middle position for gaining medals.

Note that the probability of getting 5 times 10000 is 0.00153, that is about 1 to 651! Get ready for a long and boring medal!

Explanation:
----------------
The reason is easy because every state is reachable by binary decisions. The chip can drop left or right with the same probability. But moving there are more possibilities to move straight downward than to move left or right.
For example, after two steps, we have a chance of 1/4 to move left-left, 1/4 to move left/right, 1/4 to move right/left and 1/4 to move right/left. Since left/right and right/left result in the same state, we have three states with the probabilities 1/4, 2/4 and 1/4.

The state's are distributed in a Pascal's triangle. The Prize of the Plinko Board is located in the 0th row. So if the player takes the middle coin, the probabilities are:

2/256 -> 100
16/256 -> 500
56/256 -> 1000
112/256 -> 0
70/256 -> 10000
=================

So to sum up, the odds of getting the 3 top medals if you drop every chip from the middle are roughly:
$50,000 - 1/654
$41,000 - 1/82
$30,100 - 1/10

So if you play 10 times a day, you should have the $41,000 medal within a couple weeks, and the $50,000 medal within a couple months.

By shifting the chip to the left or right, both "extreme" prizes 0 and 10000 move closer to the edges of the Pascal's triangle, the probability of earning the medals decreases.

Note that the probability of reaching "uninteresting" results like 100 or 500 would gain an additional probability due to reflection at the boarder!


Latest Shared Creations

easy win... Added to levels for Little Cannon Aug 5, 2010. Load Level
It sucks... Added to levels for Little Cannon Aug 4, 2010. Load Level
Yes! Added to levels for Little Cannon Aug 4, 2010. Load Level
easy Added to levels for Little Cannon Aug 2, 2010. Load Level
lame Added to levels for Time Fcuk May 29, 2010. Load Level
hg,ki Added to levels for Time Fcuk Oct 16, 2009. Load Level